Archive for February, 2003

Who exactly are you trying to save here? Do you think stopping the war will SAVE the Iraqi people?
Anti-war protesters ignore the horrors
Jesse Jackson Quote of the Day:
““Today is not about Saddam Hussain,” he snapped. “Today is about Bush and Blair and the massacre they plan in Iraq.” Salima had to beat a retreat, with all of us following, as the reverend’s gorillas closed in to protect his holiness.”


Dan and I have been bantering back and forth on the war on Derek’s site. It’s an interesting read..
Dan, after reading Demon Haunted World once again last night, I found the references you were pointing to. Show me where Sagan’s rules of proof aren’t valid.
1. Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts.
Both the US and Britain have intelligence resources that Saddam has developed Chemical and Biological weapons. Saddam has also been hell bent on developing a nuclear weapon. This has been proven by numerous defectors from the Iraqi regieme as well.
2. Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
Which has been done for the past three months. Maybe you didn’t hear of it, it’s called the United Nations.
3. Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no “authorities”).
This is actually quite funny, so a two year old who has never looked at a telescope knew just as much about the universe as the (now dead) Mr. Sagan?
4. Spin more than one hypothesis – don’t simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
Tried and done. I think that’s when we started the inspections back eleven years ago.
5. Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it’s yours.
Quantify, wherever possible.

Eleven Years of Inspections
Eighteen Resolutions Calling for Disarmament
Three Presidents who have called for regieme change
Five Years of No Inspectors on the Ground after they were kicked out
6. If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work. “Occam’s razor” – if there are two hypothesis that explain the data equally well choose the simpler.
Which is the simpler argument?

  • A worldwide conspiricy exists to remove Saddam from power and seize the oil fields of Iraq so the US and Britain can exploit them for generations. Also, the conspiricy has also entngled several Iraqi scientists who want Saddam removed for their own personal gains.
  • Saddam has lied and does possess WMDs.
    7. Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, it is testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result?
    Hmm, well we’d have to get another dictator in some backwash country. You might have me on that one.

  • Mr. Rogers died this morning. That sucks…

    It’s been kind of funny over the past few weeks how the “wait-and-see” crowd has coalesced together. On one side, we have the “Make Love Not War” crowd sharing airtime with the “Pat Buchanan Isolationist Club Inc.”. Both sides have their points in avoiding war with Iraq from possible environmental destruction, to interference with a sovereign nation, to the “unneeded deaths” of our soldiers.
    Don’t get me wrong here, I would be 100% happy if Saddam just came out and said, “Yup, I’ve got them, here they are, Merry Christmas! I’m going to Disneyland”. But this isn’t going to happen. Not while we he can keep the looney left and the scared right double-guessing themselves.
    You remember that kid in school that kept borrowing a quarter from you every now and then, but never paid you back? Eventually, you stopped loaning him money because you knew he wouldn’t pay you back. While this seems like a trivial comparison to the crisis in Iraq, we have to ask the same question here. How long are we going to go on and let Saddam tell us he doesn’t have WMDs when we know he does. Resolution 1441 said Saddam had to prove he has destroyed his WMDs to the UN inspectors. Not just say they are in compliance, not just show pictures of broken bombs. Prove it beyond a shadow of a doubt. This isn’t that tough of a deal to do. According to Hans Blix, the Iraqis have admitted to having WMDs, but they buried them in the desert and destroyed all of the paperwork with it. Here’s the link I was able to find.
    Destroyed the documentation? Buried hundreds of tons of VX and Anthrax and other agents that can kill someone on contact? In the middle of the desert? Umm, my BS detector is now redlining. Did Saddam also offer us “Ocean-Front” property in downtown Baghdad as well?
    If Iraq wants to prove that they don’t have any WMDs, just take a trip out to the desert and show the UN inspectors where the bombs are buried. Real simple, we’ll do the tests and if they are there, we’ll move on. Hmm, that hasn’t happened yet. And I don’t think it will either.
    Of course, the question is now asked, “So what if he has them. Who cares, they aren’t a threat to us!” This was the same question asked in 1911, 1939, etc, etc, etc. Evil Bad Dictators® don’t really care about sanity, they want power and control. Remember Hirohito? Hitler? Mussolini? They took relatively backwater countries and quickly turned them into war machines. It was only when they came into our backyard, was when we acted. And we lost hundreds of thousands of people pushing them back.
    While I’m 100% in agreement that WMDs will eventually proliferate to the point of where my neighbor down the street will have a Minuteman III sitting in his living room, using this argument as a reason to abandon stopping their progress is absurd. It’s time to grow up America. We’re now the parents of the world. We have to set an example that the neighborhood bully can’t get away with his crap. Are you really ready to let this guy go? Do you really think he is innocent?
    But before you think about it, do you think you can get me one of those “No War For Oil” buttons? I bet I can make a killing from those on Ebay in a few years.

    This has to be one of the best produced albums I’ve heard in years. Well written, lyrically deep, and the depth of the music is incredible. I highly suggest buying it or at least grabbing it off Kazaa THEN buying it if you keep it.

    Axis of Evil

    And some people thought Bush was too harsh in calling these countries out on the carpet.
    Inspectors in Iran Examine Machines to Enrich Uranium

    How fast do you think the the manager of Great White is going to be arrested along with Jack (GW’s Lead Singer)? My guess is two days (Monday). Charges will be negligent homicide, fire code violations, etc, etc, etc…

    One thing I was looking forward to this week was The Screen Savers interviewing Rush. So after tonight’s Komets game (a win over the Rockford Ice Hogs), I jump on my Tivo and setout to watch the interview.
    This interview should be shown as an examples of “what not to do”. Best quote from the interview (WARNING – LINK LEADS TO WINDOWS MEDIA FILE).
    Interviewer: So guys, what should we expect on your new album “Spirit of Radio, Greatest Hits 1974-1987”?
    Geddy: Umm, songs from 1974-1987…

    OK, my day is better

    Got the title for my Honda in the mail today. It’s all mine now. 🙂